A weak, unstable Pakistan is in India’s interest. When Pakistan broke up in 1971, India enjoyed peace for 20 years
Posted by jagoindia on February 21, 2010
A strong and stable Pakistan is in India’s best interests.
This argument is as old as the hills. The underlying assumption is that
were Pakistan to break up, thousands of mad militants would attack
India. There is a tiny grain of truth to this view so I will not dismiss
it out of hand but consider the opposite view.
In 1971, Pakistan broke up. Half of the country actually seceded and
became Bangladesh. The immediate consequence of this weak and enfeebled
Pakistan was two decades of peace. Throughout the 70s and the 80s, we
had very little trouble from Islamabad. Plus, with East Pakistan gone,
funding for rebels in Nagaland and Mizoram dried up. Consequently, both
problems were solved and the insurgencies ended.
If Pakistan were to break up, if Sindh or Baluchistan seceded, there is
no way this could do India any harm. Rather Pakistan would be so
obsessed with its own problems that we would have a degree of peace.
Further, the real threat to India is not from freelance jihadis. They
are quite happy killing other Pakistanis. The threat to us comes from
organised terror planned by state and semi-state actors. Such forces are
at their peak when Pakistan is strong and stable.